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楼主  发表于: 2009-06-04   

BMC Ophthalmology

BioMed Central Ql\{^s+  
Page 1 of 7 )+mbR_@,O6  
(page number not for citation purposes)  nKkI  
BMC Ophthalmology Ge[N5N>  
Research article Open Access (D{9~^EO>a  
Comparison of age-specific cataract prevalence in two &gcKv1a\  
population-based surveys 6 years apart xk.\IrB_  
Ava Grace Tan†, Jie Jin Wang*†, Elena Rochtchina† and Paul Mitchell† ?OvtR:hC  
Address: Centre for Vision Research, Westmead Millennium Institute, Department of Ophthalmology, University of Sydney, Westmead Hospital, Eh0R0;l5>  
Westmead, NSW, Australia A^ t[PKM"  
Email: Ava Grace Tan - ava_tan@wmi.usyd.edu.au; Jie Jin Wang* - jiejin_wang@wmi.usyd.edu.au; )MW.Y  
Elena Rochtchina - elena_rochtchina@wmi.usyd.edu.au; Paul Mitchell - paul_mitchell@wmi.usyd.edu.au RNp3lXf O  
* Corresponding author †Equal contributors d^WVWk K  
Abstract Ry[VEn>C1  
Background: In this study, we aimed to compare age-specific cortical, nuclear and posterior S ep}{`u  
subcapsular (PSC) cataract prevalence in two surveys 6 years apart. I6'U[ )%  
Methods: The Blue Mountains Eye Study examined 3654 participants (82.4% of those eligible) in _~=X/I R  
cross-section I (1992–4) and 3509 participants (75.1% of survivors and 85.2% of newly eligible) in x(5>f9bb  
cross-section II (1997–2000, 66.5% overlap with cross-section I). Cataract was assessed from lens :kfl q  
photographs following the Wisconsin Cataract Grading System. Cortical cataract was defined if Nx;U]O6A  
cortical opacity comprised ≥ 5% of lens area. Nuclear cataract was defined if nuclear opacity ≥ EM;]dLh  
Wisconsin standard 4. PSC was defined if any present. Any cataract was defined to include persons q%"]}@a0  
who had previous cataract surgery. Weighted kappa for inter-grader reliability was 0.82, 0.55 and XNf%vC>  
0.82 for cortical, nuclear and PSC cataract, respectively. We assessed age-specific prevalence using C B =H1+  
an interval of 5 years, so that participants within each age group were independent between the oAA%pZ@  
two surveys. \O^b|0zc  
Results: Age and gender distributions were similar between the two populations. The age-specific g  O,X  
prevalence of cortical (23.8% in 1st, 23.7% in 2nd) and PSC cataract (6.3%, 6.0%) was similar. The ,c YU  
prevalence of nuclear cataract increased slightly from 18.7% to 23.9%. After age standardization, >QU1_'1r  
the similar prevalence of cortical (23.8%, 23.5%) and PSC cataract (6.3%, 5.9%), and the increased g(>;Z@Y  
prevalence of nuclear cataract (18.7%, 24.2%) remained. =sPY+~<o  
Conclusion: In two surveys of two population-based samples with similar age and gender C5\bnk{  
distributions, we found a relatively stable cortical and PSC cataract prevalence over a 6-year period. +kd88Fx  
The increased prevalence of nuclear cataract deserves further study. Ma: xxsH.  
Background /J<?2T9G  
Age-related cataract is the leading cause of reversible visual q!$?G]-%  
impairment in older persons [1-6]. In Australia, it is #&\^{Z  
estimated that by the year 2021, the number of people %XMrS lSOp  
affected by cataract will increase by 63%, due to population 6K5KZZG  
aging [7]. Surgical intervention is an effective treatment /KO!s,Nk  
for cataract and normal vision (> 20/40) can usually k 9R_27F  
be restored with intraocular lens (IOL) implantation. l=`)yc.  
Cataract surgery with IOL implantation is currently the 7,d^?.~S  
most commonly performed, and is, arguably, the most A5Qzj]{ba  
cost effective surgical procedure worldwide. Performance {W62%>v  
Published: 20 April 2006 <fCgU&  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 doi:10.1186/1471-2415-6-17 V Ta?y  
Received: 14 December 2005 - (VV  
Accepted: 20 April 2006 OziG|o@I  
This article is available from: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 U#gHc:$  
© 2006 Tan et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. DQDt*Uj,  
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), i%GjtYjS  
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. p4\%*ovQt  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 z1aApS  
Page 2 of 7 |xG|HJm,  
(page number not for citation purposes) =3?t%l;n  
of this surgical procedure has been continuously increasing |{k;p fPV  
in the last two decades. Data from the Australian g^26Gb.  
Health Insurance Commission has shown a steady /ZlW9|  
increase in Medicare claims for cataract surgery [8]. A 2.6- xG 7;Ps4L  
fold increase in the total number of cataract procedures 5YUn{qtD  
from 1985 to 1994 has been documented in Australia [9]. [aU#"k)M  
The rate of cataract surgery per thousand persons aged 65 $74ZC M  
years or older has doubled in the last 20 years [8,9]. In the e<dFvMO  
Blue Mountains Eye Study population, we observed a onethird cpz}!D  
increase in cataract surgery prevalence over a mean )fP ,F(  
6-year interval, from 6% to nearly 8% in two cross-sectional %}j.6'`{  
population-based samples with a similar age range 2w)0>Y(_  
[10]. Further increases in cataract surgery performance &NZN_%  
would be expected as a result of improved surgical skills Vj_(55WQ  
and technique, together with extending cataract surgical w~afQA>  
benefits to a greater number of older people and an N*$<Kjw  
increased number of persons with surgery performed on 2/sD#vC  
both eyes. kEf}yTy  
Both the prevalence and incidence of age-related cataract `sQ\j Nu  
link directly to the demand for, and the outcome of, cataract -`n>q^A7e  
surgery and eye health care provision. This report .21%~"dxJ  
aimed to assess temporal changes in the prevalence of cortical p<Wb^BE  
and nuclear cataract and posterior subcapsular cataract kX zm  
(PSC) in two cross-sectional population-based B]ul~FX  
surveys 6 years apart. J:dF^3Y  
Methods D{Y~ kV|  
The Blue Mountains Eye Study (BMES) is a populationbased J5)e 7  
cohort study of common eye diseases and other yZ~<! 5.P  
health outcomes. The study involved eligible permanent 'C+z  
residents aged 49 years and older, living in two postcode I.r &;   
areas in the Blue Mountains, west of Sydney, Australia. d#Sc4xuf  
Participants were identified through a census and were O*d&H;;  
invited to participate. The study was approved at each C$){H"#  
stage of the data collection by the Human Ethics Committees A^q= :ofQ  
of the University of Sydney and the Western Sydney qF`;xa%,}  
Area Health Service and adhered to the recommendations o+;=C@,'  
of the Declaration of Helsinki. Written informed consent 4A^hP![c#]  
was obtained from each participant. `)\_  
Details of the methods used in this study have been 2`+?s  
described previously [11]. The baseline examinations %1gJOV  
(BMES cross-section I) were conducted during 1992– )&1yt4 x6%  
1994 and included 3654 (82.4%) of 4433 eligible residents. I{<6GIU+  
Follow-up examinations (BMES IIA) were conducted B}X   C  
during 1997–1999, with 2335 (75.0% of BMES >C+0LF`U  
cross section I survivors) participating. A repeat census of $5G vF1  
the same area was performed in 1999 and identified 1378 a({qc0+UK  
newly eligible residents who moved into the area or the x,E#+ m  
eligible age group. During 1999–2000, 1174 (85.2%) of Y:&1;`FBZ  
this group participated in an extension study (BMES IIB). ]/p0j$Tq$  
BMES cross-section II thus includes BMES IIA (66.5%) :>nk63V (  
and BMES IIB (33.5%) participants (n = 3509). 583ej2HPg  
Similar procedures were used for all stages of data collection ~^lQ[x  
at both surveys. A questionnaire was administered $JqdI/s  
including demographic, family and medical history. A Vm'ReH  
detailed eye examination included subjective refraction, Q&(?D  
slit-lamp (Topcon SL-7e camera, Topcon Optical Co, \-GV8A2:k  
Tokyo, Japan) and retroillumination (Neitz CT-R camera, -kES]P?2  
Neitz Instrument Co, Tokyo, Japan) photography of the SjKIn-  
lens. Grading of lens photographs in the BMES has been fdho`juFa  
previously described [12]. Briefly, masked grading was C+ P}R]cT"  
performed on the lens photographs using the Wisconsin P0RM df  
Cataract Grading System [13]. Cortical cataract and PSC ?@|1>epgd  
were assessed from the retroillumination photographs by ]SBv3Q0D7  
estimating the percentage of the circular grid involved. KK(x)(  
Cortical cataract was defined when cortical opacity ]WN{8   
involved at least 5% of the total lens area. PSC was defined #Vv*2Mc  
when opacity comprised at least 1% of the total lens area. NxNR;wz>l  
Slit-lamp photographs were used to assess nuclear cataract hz Vpv,|G  
using the Wisconsin standard set of four lens photographs hrZ~7 0r  
[13]. Nuclear cataract was defined when nuclear opacity 8PXleAn  
was at least as great as the standard 4 photograph. Any cataract mt fDl;/D  
was defined to include persons who had previous (oq(-Wv  
cataract surgery as well as those with any of three cataract ]!YzbvoR  
types. Inter-grader reliability was high, with weighted X-Xf6&Uz  
kappa 0.82 for cortical cataract, 0.55 (simple kappa 0.75) /,Ln)?eD  
for nuclear cataract and 0.82 for PSC grading. The intragrader 5 tP0dQYd  
reliability for nuclear cataract was assessed with w#Nn(!VR  
simple kappa 0.83 for the senior grader who graded GaRL]w  
nuclear cataract at both surveys. All PSC cases were confirmed T]Tz<w W(  
by an ophthalmologist (PM). ?e3q0Lg3 |  
In cross-section I, 219 persons (6.0%) had missing or ed{z^!w4  
ungradable Neitz photographs, leaving 3435 with photographs b\=0[kBQw  
available for cortical cataract and PSC assessment, .vG6\U7  
while 1153 (31.6%) had randomly missing or ungradable 9!2KpuWji  
Topcon photographs due to a camera malfunction, leaving UY}lJHp0  
2501 with photographs available for nuclear cataract O(&EnNm[2  
assessment. Comparison of characteristics between participants E'MMhl o  
with and without Neitz or Topcon photographs in 2$\1v*:  
cross-section I showed no statistically significant differences aMv  
between the two groups, as reported previously N1LR _vS"  
[12]. In cross-section II, 441 persons (12.5%) had missing jy&p_v1  
or ungradable Neitz photographs, leaving 3068 for cortical i.F[.-.  
cataract and PSC assessment, and 648 (18.5%) had k9}im  
missing or ungradable Topcon photographs, leaving 2860 !29 R l`9  
for nuclear cataract assessment. e#_xDR:  
Data analysis was performed using the Statistical Analysis ShCAkaj_  
System (SAS, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Age-adjusted OmU.9PDg-  
prevalence was calculated using direct standardization of m{b(^K9}  
the cross-section II population to the cross-section I population. i}HF  
We assessed age-specific prevalence using an )K5~r>n&  
interval of 5 years, so that participants within each age dZnq 96<:|  
group were independent between the two cross-sectional q/4PX  
surveys. =FwFqjvl  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 i~K~Czmok+  
Page 3 of 7 ;K:.*sAa  
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Results o<C~67o_  
Characteristics of the two survey populations have been a 2).Az  
previously compared [14] and showed that age and sex F'SOl*v(s5  
distributions were similar. Table 1 compares participant ia?8 Z"&lK  
characteristics between the two cross-sections. Cross-section ?dxhe7m  
II participants generally had higher rates of diabetes, t5 5k#`Z  
hypertension, myopia and more users of inhaled steroids. .5ingB3%  
Cataract prevalence rates in cross-sections I and II are i(U*<1y  
shown in Figure 1. The overall prevalence of cortical cataract { 0Leua  
was 23.8% and 23.7% in cross-sections I and II, b,SY(Ce~g  
respectively (age-sex adjusted P = 0.81). Corresponding %PkJ7-/b|^  
prevalence of PSC was 6.3% and 6.0% for the two crosssections a<vCAFQ  
(age-sex adjusted P = 0.60). There was an a nIdCOh  
increased prevalence of nuclear cataract, from 18.7% in )9@Ftzg|  
cross-section I to 23.9% in cross-section II over the 6-year kA#>Xu/  
period (age-sex adjusted P < 0.001). Prevalence of any cataract RJd55+h  
(including persons who had cataract surgery), however, pLk?<y  
was relatively stable (46.9% and 46.8% in crosssections -y$|EOi?  
I and II, respectively). meIY00   
After age-standardization, these prevalence rates remained ii~~xt1  
stable for cortical cataract (23.8% and 23.5% in the two HYpB]<F  
surveys) and PSC (6.3% and 5.9%). The slightly increased ux-Fvwoh  
prevalence of nuclear cataract (from 18.7% to 24.2%) was ]LP&v3  
not altered. >gVR5 o  
Table 2 shows the age-specific prevalence rates for cortical *+ Q,b^N  
cataract, PSC and nuclear cataract in cross-sections I and ,gRsbC  
II. A similar trend of increasing cataract prevalence with Zx`hutCv  
increasing age was evident for all three types of cataract in t|%iW%m4  
both surveys. Comparing the age-specific prevalence *a+~bX)18  
between the two surveys, a reduction in PSC prevalence in yNI} =Z  
cross-section II was observed in the older age groups (≥ 75 ~":?})  
years). In contrast, increased nuclear cataract prevalence S  W  
in cross-section II was observed in the older age groups (≥ L!/USh:IP  
70 years). Age-specific cortical cataract prevalence was relatively ZEHz/Y%  
consistent between the two surveys, except for a L6U[H#3(  
reduction in prevalence observed in the 80–84 age group Oja)J-QXb  
and an increasing prevalence in the older age groups (≥ 85 G~YV6??  
years). 5v>(xl  
Similar gender differences in cataract prevalence were :IS]|3wD  
observed in both surveys (Table 3). Higher prevalence of }4ta#T Ea  
cortical and nuclear cataract in women than men was evident tS`fG;  
but the difference was only significant for cortical KWhw@y-5j@  
cataract (age-adjusted odds ratio, OR, for women 1.3, n_?<q{GW  
95% confidence intervals, CI, 1.1–1.5 in cross-section I '&s:,o-p  
and OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1–1.6 in cross-section II). In con- kqv>rA3  
Table 1: Participant characteristics. WvNX%se]3  
Characteristics Cross-section I Cross-section II ,?i#NN5p  
n % n % k(hes3JV  
Age (mean) (66.2) (66.7) f,PFvT$5e  
50–54 485 13.3 350 10.0 %VSST?aUvX  
55–59 534 14.6 580 16.5 g4%x7#vz0  
60–64 638 17.5 600 17.1 :S?'6lOc(  
65–69 671 18.4 639 18.2 O,:ent|  
70–74 538 14.7 572 16.3 4z[Z3|_V  
75–79 422 11.6 407 11.6 USe"1(|E  
80–84 230 6.3 226 6.4 ~eqX<0hf@  
85–89 100 2.7 110 3.1 Y.jg }oV  
90+ 36 1.0 24 0.7 #). om*Xh  
Female 2072 56.7 1998 57.0 Alh%Z\  
Ever Smokers 1784 51.2 1789 51.2 4d9i AN  
Use of inhaled steroids 370 10.94 478 13.8^ q^Oq:l$s  
History of: >MS}7Hk\  
Diabetes 284 7.8 347 9.9^ wxr93$v  
Hypertension 1669 46.0 1825 52.2^ mNm 8I8  
Emmetropia* 1558 42.9 1478 42.2 N;RZIg(x  
Myopia* 442 12.2 495 14.1^ 1OE^pxfi>  
Hyperopia* 1633 45.0 1532 43.7 %+FM$xyJ  
n = number of persons affected |5$9l#e  
* best spherical equivalent refraction correction d<(1^Rto  
^ P < 0.01 EmG`ga)s  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 g|e^}voRM  
Page 4 of 7 :#c?`>uV  
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t <`*6;j.&  
rast, men had slightly higher PSC prevalence than women c*MjBAq  
in both cross-sections but the difference was not significant |PDuvv !.f  
(OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.8–1.4 for men in cross-section I R 5bt~U  
and OR 1.2, 95% 0.9–1.6 in cross-section II). RAXqRP,iw  
Discussion T?^AllUZQR  
Findings from two surveys of BMES cross-sectional populations =?vk n  
with similar age and gender distribution showed ldanM>5  
that the prevalence of cortical cataract and PSC remained tN";o\!}  
stable, while the prevalence of nuclear cataract appeared SECL(@0(^  
to have increased. Comparison of age-specific prevalence, _Vj O [hx  
with totally independent samples within each age group, ^?&Jq_oU  
confirmed the robustness of our findings from the two _6^vxlF  
survey samples. Although lens photographs taken from ;&;coH8`  
the two surveys were graded for nuclear cataract by the >:X zv  
same graders, who documented a high inter- and intragrader !+9H=u  
reliability, we cannot exclude the possibility that i+Ob1B@w  
variations in photography, performed by different photographers, g%1!YvS3v  
may have contributed to the observed difference Xdq2.:\  
in nuclear cataract prevalence. However, the overall }_@cqx:n^  
Table 2: Age-specific prevalence of cataract types in cross sections I and II. w v9s{I{P  
Cataract type Age (years) Cross-section I Cross-section II [$8*(d"F'  
n % (95% CL)* n % (95% CL)* r7JILk  
Cortical 50–54 473 4.4 (2.6–6.3) 338 7.4 (4.6–10.2) qSkt }F%'  
55–59 522 9.2 (6.7–11.7) 542 9.0 (6.6–11.5) pc:K5 -Os  
60–64 615 16.4 (13.5–19.4) 556 16.7 (13.6–19.8) @bfaAh~   
65–69 653 26.2 (22.8–29.6) 581 23.6 (20.1–27.0) "&Q-'L!M'/  
70–74 516 31.2 (27.2–35.2) 514 35.4 (31.3–39.6) Ny\iRU)fN  
75–79 366 40.2 (35.1–45.2) 332 39.8 (34.5–45.1) SO]x^+ [  
80–84 194 58.8 (51.8–65.8) 163 42.9 (35.3–50.6) (}gF{@sn  
85–89 74 52.7 (41.1–64.4) 73 54.8 (43.1–66.5) a%Mbq;  
90+ 22 68.2 (47.0–89.3) 14 78.6 (54.0–103.2) kOFEH!9&  
PSC 50–54 474 2.7 (1.3–4.2) 338 2.4 (0.7–4.0) J j yQ  
55–59 522 2.9 (1.4–4.3) 541 2.6 (1.3–3.9) 1PjSa4  
60–64 616 4.6 (2.9–6.2) 548 5.7 (3.7–7.6) P,_GTs3/G  
65–69 655 6.3 (4.4–8.1) 573 4.5 (2.8–6.3) rTDx|pvYx  
70–74 517 6.8 (4.6–8.9) 505 9.7 (7.1–12.3) W_O,Kao  
75–79 367 11.4 (8.2–14.7) 327 9.5 (6.3–12.7) >fdS$,`A  
80–84 196 12.2 (7.6–16.9) 155 10.3 (5.5–15.2) g3e\'B'  
85–89 74 18.9 (9.8–28.1) 69 11.6 (3.9–19.4) 3ZC to[Y  
90+ 23 21.7 (3.5–40.0) 11 0.0 tG^Oj:  
Nuclear 50–54 323 1.6 (0.2–2.9) 331 0.9 (–0.2–1.9) =QRLKo#_  
55–59 386 2.3 (0.8–3.8) 507 3.6 (1.9–5.2) XH1so1h  
60–64 453 5.3 (3.2–7.4) 501 11.6 (8.8–14.4) pOlQOdl  
65–69 478 17.2 (13.8–20.1) 534 18.5 (15.2–21.9) e9k}n\t3  
70–74 392 27.6 (23.1–32.0) 453 36.0 (31.6–40.4) <IK8 Ucp  
75–79 255 45.1 (39.0–51.3) 302 55.6 (50.0–61.3) H Tf7r-  
80–84 146 54.1 (45.9–62.3) 147 73.5 (66.3–80.7) bveNd0hN  
85–89 50 64.0 (50.2–77.8) 70 80.0 (70.4–89.6) VP0wa>50!  
90+ 18 72.2 (49.3–95.1) 15 73.3 (48.0–98.7) 9.#\GI ;  
n = number of persons Pt";f  
* 95% Confidence Limits V8[woJ5x  
Cataract FMioguunrtea i1n ps rEeyvea lSetnucdey in cross-sections I and II of the Blue  UZmz k  
Cataract prevalence in cross-sections I and II of the Blue w/h?, L|  
Mountains Eye Study. 9t7_7{Q+;  
0 mBQ6qmK   
10 3$(1LN  
20 fCO!M1t  
30 #x':qBv#  
40 HQQc<7c ",  
50 }"Hf/{E$_"  
cortical PSC nuclear any A5y?|q>5  
cataract :HMnU37m W  
Cataract type i^Ep[3  
% ;w}ZI<ou  
Cross-section I |DwI%%0(F  
Cross-section II Ko>pwhR}  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 hgfCM  
Page 5 of 7 `| L+a~~  
(page number not for citation purposes) <,HdX,5  
prevalence of any cataract (including cataract surgery) was )/Ee#)z*  
relatively stable over the 6-year period. 0Evmq3,9  
Although different population-based studies used different y9pQ1H<F;  
grading systems to assess cataract [15], the overall 4F)z-<-b  
prevalence of the three cataract types were similar across j:O=9  
different study populations [12,16-23]. Most studies have 2\CFt;fk  
suggested that nuclear cataract is the most prevalent type 8`U5/!6fu  
of cataract, followed by cortical cataract [16-20]. Ours and Do=*bZ;A  
other studies reported that cortical cataract was the most TPvS+_<oL{  
prevalent type [12,21-23]. )0yY|E \  
Our age-specific prevalence data show a reduction of RUlM""@b  
15.9% in cortical cataract prevalence for the 80–84 year C.}Z5BwS  
age group, concordant with an increase in cataract surgery 1Xu\Tm\Ux  
prevalence by 9% in those aged 80+ years observed in the tceQn ^|<  
same study population [10]. Although cortical cataract is *&% kkbA  
thought to be the least likely cataract type leading to a cataract a4 O   
surgery, this may not be the case in all older persons. }f;Zx)!  
A relatively stable cortical cataract and PSC prevalence ,*bI0mFZ  
over the 6-year period is expected. We cannot offer a [NQ`S ~_:  
definitive explanation for the increase in nuclear cataract _^0yE_ili  
prevalence. A possible explanation could be that a moderate 4 u"V52  
level of nuclear cataract causes less visual disturbance %K\_gR}V  
than the other two types of cataract, thus for the oldest age S^c5  
groups, persons with nuclear cataract could have been less vaxNF%^~yN  
likely to have surgery unless it is very dense or co-existing DSM,dO'  
with cortical cataract or PSC. Previous studies have shown cr27q6_  
that functional vision and reading performance were high =L 7scv%i  
in patients undergoing cataract surgery who had nuclear KNic$:i  
cataract only compared to those with mixed type of cataract : N>5{  
(nuclear and cortical) or PSC [24,25]. In addition, the I8Y[d$z  
overall prevalence of any cataract (including cataract surgery) :eo2t>zF-<  
was similar in the two cross-sections, which appears 6*A S4 l  
to support our speculation that in the oldest age group, QukLsl]U  
nuclear cataract may have been less likely to be operated S"!nM]2L  
than the other two types of cataract. This could have @-NdgM<  
resulted in an increased nuclear cataract prevalence (due NFDi2L>Ba  
to less being operated), compensated by the decreased N>z_uPy{A  
prevalence of cortical cataract and PSC (due to these being XTG* 56IzL  
more likely to be operated), leading to stable overall prevalence isLIfE>  
of any cataract. &DYHkG  
Possible selection bias arising from selective survival Dr^#e  
among persons without cataract could have led to underestimation a-MDZT<xA+  
of cataract prevalence in both surveys. We j,K]T J  
assume that such an underestimation occurred equally in 0V uG(O  
both surveys, and thus should not have influenced our m*6C *M  
assessment of temporal changes. n-be8p)-  
Measurement error could also have partially contributed 8`EzvEm  
to the observed difference in nuclear cataract prevalence. 9fp1*d  
Assessment of nuclear cataract from photographs is a Pn\ Lg8  
potentially subjective process that can be influenced by th}Q`vg0  
variations in photography (light exposure, focus and the ,]gYy00w0s  
slit-lamp angle when the photograph was taken) and 5`53lK.C  
grading. Although we used the same Topcon slit-lamp bF;g.-.2  
camera and the same two graders who graded photos ~e~iCyW;S  
from both surveys, we are still not able to exclude the possibility Kr3L~4>  
of a partial influence from photographic variation \Bg;}\8 X  
on this result. v}XMFC !  
A similar gender difference (women having a higher rate Q|q.~x<RQ  
than men) in cortical cataract prevalence was observed in e|Rd#  
both surveys. Our findings are in keeping with observations MDGD*Qn~  
from the Beaver Dam Eye Study [18], the Barbados BUqe~E|I  
Eye Study [22] and the Lens Opacities Case-Control \R #]}g0!  
Group [26]. It has been suggested that the difference ^  ry   
could be related to hormonal factors [18,22]. A previous oswS<t{Z  
study on biochemical factors and cataract showed that a 4loG$l+a1  
lower level of iron was associated with an increased risk of 'B ocMjRA  
cortical cataract [27]. No interaction between sex and biochemical RoCX*3d  
factors were detected and no gender difference owHhlS{  
was assessed in this study [27]. The gender difference seen RwJ#G7S#  
in cortical cataract could be related to relatively low iron o,dO.isgh>  
levels and low hemoglobin concentration usually seen in Y -%g5  
women [28]. Diabetes is a known risk factor for cortical @2ZE8O#I  
Table 3: Gender distribution of cataract types in cross-sections I and II. ~jWG U-m  
Cataract type Gender Cross-section I Cross-section II qT7E"|.$  
n % (95% CL)* n % (95% CL)* OPH f9T3H  
Cortical Male 1496 21.1 (19.0–23.1) 1328 20.4 (18.2–22.6) <2@V$$Qg.~  
Female 1939 25.9 (23.9–27.8) 1785 26.2 (24.2–28.3) Khp`KPxz%  
PSC Male 1500 6.5 (5.2–7.7) 1314 6.4 (5.1–7.7) !?!~8J~  
Female 1944 6.2 (5.1–7.2) 1753 5.7 (4.6–6.7) R+ #(\  
Nuclear Male 1106 17.6 (15.4–19.9) 1225 22.5 (20.1–24.8) ?hu}wl)  
Female 1395 19.5 (17.4–21.6) 1635 25.0 (22.9–27.1) 3~v' Ev  
n = number of persons oRmz'F  
* 95% Confidence Limits qk !")t  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 !jZX h1g%  
Page 6 of 7 80=6B  
(page number not for citation purposes) CJ0{>?  
cataract but in this particular population diabetes is more 8Ac5K!  
prevalent in men than women in all age groups [29]. Differential GR6BpV7  
exposures to cataract risk factors or different dietary }&|S8:   
or lifestyle patterns between men and women may l Q/u#c$n  
also be related to these observations and warrant further Ps=OL\i  
study. p1 ^k4G  
Conclusion HAa$ pGb  
In summary, in two population-based surveys 6 years -UD^O*U  
apart, we have documented a relatively stable prevalence ]7W !  
of cortical cataract and PSC over the period. The observed hbfTv;=z  
overall increased nuclear cataract prevalence by 5% over a Dxj&9Ra  
6-year period needs confirmation by future studies, and 8bl&-F `  
reasons for such an increase deserve further study. Lckb*/jV&  
Competing interests k4WUfL d  
The author(s) declare that they have no competing interests. u17e  
Authors' contributions G .PzpBA  
AGT graded the photographs, performed literature search y"5>O|`  
and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. JJW graded the gKyYBr  
photographs, critically reviewed and modified the manuscript. B[2 qI7D$  
ER performed the statistical analysis and critically ]r 6S|;:  
reviewed the manuscript. PM designed and directed the )L^GGy8w  
study, adjudicated cataract cases and critically reviewed 9WE_9$<V  
and modified the manuscript. All authors read and ;fg8,(SM^  
approved the final manuscript. 6[cC1a3r:  
Acknowledgements ,LD[R1TU8  
This study was supported by the Australian National Health & Medical 1D@'uApi .  
Research Council, Canberra, Australia (Grant Nos 974159, 991407). The mBb;:-5  
abstract was presented at the Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology qyA%_;ReMY  
(ARVO) meeting in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA, May 2005. 6Ja } N  
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