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楼主  发表于: 2009-06-04   

BMC Ophthalmology

BioMed Central 8wvHg_U6W  
Page 1 of 7 T`":Q1n  
(page number not for citation purposes) el*|@#k}  
BMC Ophthalmology `gx\m=xG  
Research article Open Access c-(RjQ~M5  
Comparison of age-specific cataract prevalence in two cB){b'WJ  
population-based surveys 6 years apart ?D _4KFr  
Ava Grace Tan†, Jie Jin Wang*†, Elena Rochtchina† and Paul Mitchell† <ef O+X!  
Address: Centre for Vision Research, Westmead Millennium Institute, Department of Ophthalmology, University of Sydney, Westmead Hospital, (WC =om  
Westmead, NSW, Australia SoM,o]s#y  
Email: Ava Grace Tan - ava_tan@wmi.usyd.edu.au; Jie Jin Wang* - jiejin_wang@wmi.usyd.edu.au; +;lDU}$  
Elena Rochtchina - elena_rochtchina@wmi.usyd.edu.au; Paul Mitchell - paul_mitchell@wmi.usyd.edu.au @i!+Z  
* Corresponding author †Equal contributors wg%Z  
Abstract xOKJOl  
Background: In this study, we aimed to compare age-specific cortical, nuclear and posterior ]pBEoktp  
subcapsular (PSC) cataract prevalence in two surveys 6 years apart. :XFQ}Cl  
Methods: The Blue Mountains Eye Study examined 3654 participants (82.4% of those eligible) in F\xIVY  
cross-section I (1992–4) and 3509 participants (75.1% of survivors and 85.2% of newly eligible) in <Hr<QiAK  
cross-section II (1997–2000, 66.5% overlap with cross-section I). Cataract was assessed from lens Nuot[1kS  
photographs following the Wisconsin Cataract Grading System. Cortical cataract was defined if }.)R#hG?  
cortical opacity comprised ≥ 5% of lens area. Nuclear cataract was defined if nuclear opacity ≥ / ^d9At614  
Wisconsin standard 4. PSC was defined if any present. Any cataract was defined to include persons Z40k>t D  
who had previous cataract surgery. Weighted kappa for inter-grader reliability was 0.82, 0.55 and g4=1['wW  
0.82 for cortical, nuclear and PSC cataract, respectively. We assessed age-specific prevalence using hzr, %r  
an interval of 5 years, so that participants within each age group were independent between the Db|JR  
two surveys. qfl!>  
Results: Age and gender distributions were similar between the two populations. The age-specific hbJy<e1W  
prevalence of cortical (23.8% in 1st, 23.7% in 2nd) and PSC cataract (6.3%, 6.0%) was similar. The 1/?Wa  
prevalence of nuclear cataract increased slightly from 18.7% to 23.9%. After age standardization, C;HEv q7  
the similar prevalence of cortical (23.8%, 23.5%) and PSC cataract (6.3%, 5.9%), and the increased *uRDB9#9,  
prevalence of nuclear cataract (18.7%, 24.2%) remained. * cW%Q@lit  
Conclusion: In two surveys of two population-based samples with similar age and gender w:%NEa,Z  
distributions, we found a relatively stable cortical and PSC cataract prevalence over a 6-year period. 4N$Wpx  
The increased prevalence of nuclear cataract deserves further study. S y <E@1  
Background dNf9,P_}  
Age-related cataract is the leading cause of reversible visual @JhkUGG]p  
impairment in older persons [1-6]. In Australia, it is mv:@D  
estimated that by the year 2021, the number of people ,^c-}`!K  
affected by cataract will increase by 63%, due to population ,)xtl`fc  
aging [7]. Surgical intervention is an effective treatment $!9U\Au>2  
for cataract and normal vision (> 20/40) can usually Z1q<) O1QX  
be restored with intraocular lens (IOL) implantation. q[qX O5  
Cataract surgery with IOL implantation is currently the s-Gd{=%/q  
most commonly performed, and is, arguably, the most %1k"K~eu  
cost effective surgical procedure worldwide. Performance U9`Co&Z2  
Published: 20 April 2006 v2]N5  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 doi:10.1186/1471-2415-6-17 ,x&WE@tD |  
Received: 14 December 2005 N~v<8vJq`  
Accepted: 20 April 2006 ZK t{3P  
This article is available from: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 J)Yz@0#T(;  
© 2006 Tan et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. nt>3i! l  
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), a U.3  
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. <Ffru?o4j  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 [g"nu0sOK  
Page 2 of 7 U+B{\38  
(page number not for citation purposes) qm_ r~j  
of this surgical procedure has been continuously increasing  rwSR  
in the last two decades. Data from the Australian Fg p|gw4  
Health Insurance Commission has shown a steady )g8Kicox5  
increase in Medicare claims for cataract surgery [8]. A 2.6- :##$-K*W"  
fold increase in the total number of cataract procedures PyI"B96gz  
from 1985 to 1994 has been documented in Australia [9]. GE] QRKf  
The rate of cataract surgery per thousand persons aged 65 &$T7eOiZ  
years or older has doubled in the last 20 years [8,9]. In the n| H8O3@  
Blue Mountains Eye Study population, we observed a onethird fA1{-JzV<4  
increase in cataract surgery prevalence over a mean fS'` 9  
6-year interval, from 6% to nearly 8% in two cross-sectional _ j'm2BA O  
population-based samples with a similar age range $rQ7"w J  
[10]. Further increases in cataract surgery performance \goiW;b  
would be expected as a result of improved surgical skills fbdpDVmpU  
and technique, together with extending cataract surgical =s.0 f:(  
benefits to a greater number of older people and an '.%Omc  
increased number of persons with surgery performed on 3e-E/6zH6  
both eyes.  Jc]k\U  
Both the prevalence and incidence of age-related cataract eFy {VpO+  
link directly to the demand for, and the outcome of, cataract +,7vbs3  
surgery and eye health care provision. This report N2j^fZd_  
aimed to assess temporal changes in the prevalence of cortical fO#nSB/ 8  
and nuclear cataract and posterior subcapsular cataract )iC@n8f7o  
(PSC) in two cross-sectional population-based Hv' OO@z  
surveys 6 years apart. Mg}/gO% o  
Methods qTWQ!  
The Blue Mountains Eye Study (BMES) is a populationbased `{IL.9M!f  
cohort study of common eye diseases and other 9zx 9t  
health outcomes. The study involved eligible permanent q!><:"#[G  
residents aged 49 years and older, living in two postcode &>Z;>6J,  
areas in the Blue Mountains, west of Sydney, Australia. E}0g  
Participants were identified through a census and were  ]sP  
invited to participate. The study was approved at each c*R\fQd  
stage of the data collection by the Human Ethics Committees f4 +P2j  
of the University of Sydney and the Western Sydney =l] lwA -  
Area Health Service and adhered to the recommendations IY!8j$ '|  
of the Declaration of Helsinki. Written informed consent :1"k`AG  
was obtained from each participant. o7PS1qcya<  
Details of the methods used in this study have been _ q>|pt.W  
described previously [11]. The baseline examinations ]70ZerQ~L  
(BMES cross-section I) were conducted during 1992– "?iyvzo  
1994 and included 3654 (82.4%) of 4433 eligible residents. k7sD"xR3  
Follow-up examinations (BMES IIA) were conducted Cd6th F)  
during 1997–1999, with 2335 (75.0% of BMES 8NNs_~+x}  
cross section I survivors) participating. A repeat census of >-3>Rjo>  
the same area was performed in 1999 and identified 1378 xd"+ &YT  
newly eligible residents who moved into the area or the W|sU[dxZ  
eligible age group. During 1999–2000, 1174 (85.2%) of f4f)9n  
this group participated in an extension study (BMES IIB). 3=Uyt  
BMES cross-section II thus includes BMES IIA (66.5%) nC?Lz1re  
and BMES IIB (33.5%) participants (n = 3509). dd +lQJ c  
Similar procedures were used for all stages of data collection =CdrhP_  
at both surveys. A questionnaire was administered  3U!=R-  
including demographic, family and medical history. A zR/mz)6_  
detailed eye examination included subjective refraction, G-:7,9  
slit-lamp (Topcon SL-7e camera, Topcon Optical Co, ;v.J D7  
Tokyo, Japan) and retroillumination (Neitz CT-R camera,  #3RElI  
Neitz Instrument Co, Tokyo, Japan) photography of the 6V6Mo}QF s  
lens. Grading of lens photographs in the BMES has been s%~Nx3,  
previously described [12]. Briefly, masked grading was 'V <Z mJ2  
performed on the lens photographs using the Wisconsin c@nh>G:y{&  
Cataract Grading System [13]. Cortical cataract and PSC z/p^C~|}  
were assessed from the retroillumination photographs by _[l&{,  
estimating the percentage of the circular grid involved. F,K))325  
Cortical cataract was defined when cortical opacity nKEw$~F  
involved at least 5% of the total lens area. PSC was defined *Utx0Me  
when opacity comprised at least 1% of the total lens area. \CS4aIp  
Slit-lamp photographs were used to assess nuclear cataract S+^hK1jL  
using the Wisconsin standard set of four lens photographs 7*WO9R/  
[13]. Nuclear cataract was defined when nuclear opacity F8/n;  
was at least as great as the standard 4 photograph. Any cataract @$%.iQ7A;  
was defined to include persons who had previous e(&u3 #7Nn  
cataract surgery as well as those with any of three cataract #~qza ETv,  
types. Inter-grader reliability was high, with weighted $DnR[V}rR!  
kappa 0.82 for cortical cataract, 0.55 (simple kappa 0.75) t!B,%,Dp  
for nuclear cataract and 0.82 for PSC grading. The intragrader ;/IX w>O(/  
reliability for nuclear cataract was assessed with 5 5Mtjqfp  
simple kappa 0.83 for the senior grader who graded adgd7JjI*  
nuclear cataract at both surveys. All PSC cases were confirmed Q+_z*  
by an ophthalmologist (PM). t.bM]QU!1  
In cross-section I, 219 persons (6.0%) had missing or W,!7_nl"u  
ungradable Neitz photographs, leaving 3435 with photographs x~D8XN{  
available for cortical cataract and PSC assessment, WV p6/H S  
while 1153 (31.6%) had randomly missing or ungradable (b"q(:5oX  
Topcon photographs due to a camera malfunction, leaving ol {N^fi K  
2501 with photographs available for nuclear cataract >-w# &T &K  
assessment. Comparison of characteristics between participants |}X[Yg=FG  
with and without Neitz or Topcon photographs in ?T|0"|\"'  
cross-section I showed no statistically significant differences jj ' epbA  
between the two groups, as reported previously K,*z8@  
[12]. In cross-section II, 441 persons (12.5%) had missing G"6XJYoI  
or ungradable Neitz photographs, leaving 3068 for cortical #2Iw%H2q&  
cataract and PSC assessment, and 648 (18.5%) had U5?QneK  
missing or ungradable Topcon photographs, leaving 2860 6UqDpL7^U  
for nuclear cataract assessment. ) N\B C  
Data analysis was performed using the Statistical Analysis )%8st'  
System (SAS, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Age-adjusted >5 Y.  
prevalence was calculated using direct standardization of 53bVhPGv  
the cross-section II population to the cross-section I population. =&FaMR2  
We assessed age-specific prevalence using an lWP]}Uy=5~  
interval of 5 years, so that participants within each age n5tsaU;  
group were independent between the two cross-sectional lB#7j  
surveys. 'cc{sjG  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 z('t#J !b  
Page 3 of 7 {yd(n_PqY  
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Results 1/?K/gL  
Characteristics of the two survey populations have been kcMg`pJ4<  
previously compared [14] and showed that age and sex ?_T[]I'  
distributions were similar. Table 1 compares participant K7i@7  
characteristics between the two cross-sections. Cross-section J L1]auO*  
II participants generally had higher rates of diabetes, $ IdU  
hypertension, myopia and more users of inhaled steroids. oc[z dIk  
Cataract prevalence rates in cross-sections I and II are w`dSc@ :  
shown in Figure 1. The overall prevalence of cortical cataract 2 ksbDl}  
was 23.8% and 23.7% in cross-sections I and II, > -(Zx  
respectively (age-sex adjusted P = 0.81). Corresponding -uhVw_qq#  
prevalence of PSC was 6.3% and 6.0% for the two crosssections PM&NY8|Zy  
(age-sex adjusted P = 0.60). There was an >?ec"P%vS/  
increased prevalence of nuclear cataract, from 18.7% in o/=61K8D  
cross-section I to 23.9% in cross-section II over the 6-year >q ,Z*s>?  
period (age-sex adjusted P < 0.001). Prevalence of any cataract 7=qvu&{  
(including persons who had cataract surgery), however, ,zZ@QW5  
was relatively stable (46.9% and 46.8% in crosssections - "{hP  
I and II, respectively). ]M~ 7L[  
After age-standardization, these prevalence rates remained J]Rh+@r.  
stable for cortical cataract (23.8% and 23.5% in the two DwWm(8&6;}  
surveys) and PSC (6.3% and 5.9%). The slightly increased HLL=.: P  
prevalence of nuclear cataract (from 18.7% to 24.2%) was X|}Q4T`  
not altered. n_wF_K\h  
Table 2 shows the age-specific prevalence rates for cortical iI &z5Q2  
cataract, PSC and nuclear cataract in cross-sections I and TJZ arNc$  
II. A similar trend of increasing cataract prevalence with b7gN|Hw5 H  
increasing age was evident for all three types of cataract in u EERNo&  
both surveys. Comparing the age-specific prevalence ;3%Y@FS@  
between the two surveys, a reduction in PSC prevalence in D'^UZZlI^I  
cross-section II was observed in the older age groups (≥ 75 GXRW"4eF5  
years). In contrast, increased nuclear cataract prevalence RPjw12Ly  
in cross-section II was observed in the older age groups (≥ $ % B  
70 years). Age-specific cortical cataract prevalence was relatively ,4;'s  
consistent between the two surveys, except for a {CFy %  
reduction in prevalence observed in the 80–84 age group ]Z52L`k  
and an increasing prevalence in the older age groups (≥ 85 ['3E'q,4&  
years). !\'HKk~V  
Similar gender differences in cataract prevalence were jzwHb'4B3  
observed in both surveys (Table 3). Higher prevalence of ,F+,A].wG  
cortical and nuclear cataract in women than men was evident O[p c$Pi  
but the difference was only significant for cortical <UTO\w%  
cataract (age-adjusted odds ratio, OR, for women 1.3, h<n2pz}  
95% confidence intervals, CI, 1.1–1.5 in cross-section I w@\4ft6d  
and OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1–1.6 in cross-section II). In con- {s6hi#R>  
Table 1: Participant characteristics. _SH~.Mt_!  
Characteristics Cross-section I Cross-section II j+>N&.zs  
n % n % HYZp= *eb  
Age (mean) (66.2) (66.7) ;q#Pl!*5  
50–54 485 13.3 350 10.0 n;~'W*Ln0  
55–59 534 14.6 580 16.5 s{4 2_O?,c  
60–64 638 17.5 600 17.1 OM`Ws5W}f  
65–69 671 18.4 639 18.2 U99Uny9  
70–74 538 14.7 572 16.3 #RKd >ig%  
75–79 422 11.6 407 11.6 m\_v{1g  
80–84 230 6.3 226 6.4 Ri*mu*r\}  
85–89 100 2.7 110 3.1 WHu[A/##']  
90+ 36 1.0 24 0.7 E `V?I o  
Female 2072 56.7 1998 57.0 \ VypkbE+  
Ever Smokers 1784 51.2 1789 51.2 $&i8/pD  
Use of inhaled steroids 370 10.94 478 13.8^ tg9{(_ t/W  
History of: lg{M\ +  
Diabetes 284 7.8 347 9.9^ UMHFq-  
Hypertension 1669 46.0 1825 52.2^ _T;Kn'Gz(&  
Emmetropia* 1558 42.9 1478 42.2 9S<V5$}  
Myopia* 442 12.2 495 14.1^ m;qqjzy  
Hyperopia* 1633 45.0 1532 43.7 (-@I'CFd  
n = number of persons affected SPauno <M  
* best spherical equivalent refraction correction OU*skc>  
^ P < 0.01 ?uW} XAi  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 v9Lf|FXo&  
Page 4 of 7 <X?xr f  
(page number not for citation purposes) &3itBQF  
t y!|4]/G]?t  
rast, men had slightly higher PSC prevalence than women //bQD>NBO  
in both cross-sections but the difference was not significant gj&5>brP  
(OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.8–1.4 for men in cross-section I %H3 iX^}*  
and OR 1.2, 95% 0.9–1.6 in cross-section II). qV-1aaA  
Discussion |`+ (O  
Findings from two surveys of BMES cross-sectional populations OD?y  
with similar age and gender distribution showed j#YVv c%  
that the prevalence of cortical cataract and PSC remained w,X J8+B  
stable, while the prevalence of nuclear cataract appeared ?q y*`  
to have increased. Comparison of age-specific prevalence, ;Q[E>j?w=  
with totally independent samples within each age group, 6H0aHCM  
confirmed the robustness of our findings from the two ZbH_h]1$D  
survey samples. Although lens photographs taken from (Sj<>xgd  
the two surveys were graded for nuclear cataract by the Z`n "}{  
same graders, who documented a high inter- and intragrader ~h%H;wC&  
reliability, we cannot exclude the possibility that _j~y;R)  
variations in photography, performed by different photographers, INRRA  
may have contributed to the observed difference 8L`wib2  
in nuclear cataract prevalence. However, the overall =r&i`L{]  
Table 2: Age-specific prevalence of cataract types in cross sections I and II. %Kh}6   
Cataract type Age (years) Cross-section I Cross-section II z*o2jz?t4  
n % (95% CL)* n % (95% CL)* `*i:z'  
Cortical 50–54 473 4.4 (2.6–6.3) 338 7.4 (4.6–10.2) -.Z  y(  
55–59 522 9.2 (6.7–11.7) 542 9.0 (6.6–11.5) EWWCh0 {  
60–64 615 16.4 (13.5–19.4) 556 16.7 (13.6–19.8) ?}C8_I|4~  
65–69 653 26.2 (22.8–29.6) 581 23.6 (20.1–27.0) R0F&!y!B  
70–74 516 31.2 (27.2–35.2) 514 35.4 (31.3–39.6) ~ x J#NC+  
75–79 366 40.2 (35.1–45.2) 332 39.8 (34.5–45.1) C k /DV  
80–84 194 58.8 (51.8–65.8) 163 42.9 (35.3–50.6) {9~3y2:  
85–89 74 52.7 (41.1–64.4) 73 54.8 (43.1–66.5) ,,?XGx  
90+ 22 68.2 (47.0–89.3) 14 78.6 (54.0–103.2) xSq+>,b  
PSC 50–54 474 2.7 (1.3–4.2) 338 2.4 (0.7–4.0) MI`<U:-lP  
55–59 522 2.9 (1.4–4.3) 541 2.6 (1.3–3.9) }xgs]\^,73  
60–64 616 4.6 (2.9–6.2) 548 5.7 (3.7–7.6) j3[kG#  
65–69 655 6.3 (4.4–8.1) 573 4.5 (2.8–6.3) >B.KI}dE  
70–74 517 6.8 (4.6–8.9) 505 9.7 (7.1–12.3) sjHcq5#U!  
75–79 367 11.4 (8.2–14.7) 327 9.5 (6.3–12.7) yEVnG` 1  
80–84 196 12.2 (7.6–16.9) 155 10.3 (5.5–15.2) G}nj 71=H  
85–89 74 18.9 (9.8–28.1) 69 11.6 (3.9–19.4) '"6*C*XS  
90+ 23 21.7 (3.5–40.0) 11 0.0 ( ;KTV*1  
Nuclear 50–54 323 1.6 (0.2–2.9) 331 0.9 (–0.2–1.9) QO4eDSW  
55–59 386 2.3 (0.8–3.8) 507 3.6 (1.9–5.2) ]v_u2f'  
60–64 453 5.3 (3.2–7.4) 501 11.6 (8.8–14.4) l?HC-_Pbh  
65–69 478 17.2 (13.8–20.1) 534 18.5 (15.2–21.9) qGzF@p(p8  
70–74 392 27.6 (23.1–32.0) 453 36.0 (31.6–40.4) `b_n\pf ]  
75–79 255 45.1 (39.0–51.3) 302 55.6 (50.0–61.3) V7k!;0u v  
80–84 146 54.1 (45.9–62.3) 147 73.5 (66.3–80.7) "}0)~,{x B  
85–89 50 64.0 (50.2–77.8) 70 80.0 (70.4–89.6) +t(Gt0+  
90+ 18 72.2 (49.3–95.1) 15 73.3 (48.0–98.7) Jn20^YG  
n = number of persons mzf^`/NO  
* 95% Confidence Limits PE6ZzxR|U<  
Cataract FMioguunrtea i1n ps rEeyvea lSetnucdey in cross-sections I and II of the Blue G6X5`eLQ  
Cataract prevalence in cross-sections I and II of the Blue :=K+~?  
Mountains Eye Study. mqiCn]8G  
0 ~;oaW<"  
10 = @ 1{LF;  
20 =r~ExW}+  
30 w1+ %+x  
40 VrJf g  
50 !@FzP@  
cortical PSC nuclear any V:lKF')  
cataract =V:Al   
Cataract type ?p>m ;Aq  
% uFfk!  
Cross-section I <qBM+m$|)  
Cross-section II  ixB"6O  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 (?[%u0%_  
Page 5 of 7 -CTLQyj)  
(page number not for citation purposes)  wKbU}29c  
prevalence of any cataract (including cataract surgery) was C Zkmd   
relatively stable over the 6-year period. lXutZ<S[  
Although different population-based studies used different 4!-/m7%eF  
grading systems to assess cataract [15], the overall u/J1Z>0  
prevalence of the three cataract types were similar across Rvy Cc!d  
different study populations [12,16-23]. Most studies have /'bX}H(dq  
suggested that nuclear cataract is the most prevalent type @={ qy}  
of cataract, followed by cortical cataract [16-20]. Ours and JcC2Zn6  
other studies reported that cortical cataract was the most &3\3wcZ,q  
prevalent type [12,21-23]. $?DEO[p.  
Our age-specific prevalence data show a reduction of sl)]yCD|5  
15.9% in cortical cataract prevalence for the 80–84 year nHQWO   
age group, concordant with an increase in cataract surgery NZ% v{?  
prevalence by 9% in those aged 80+ years observed in the r<DPh5ReY  
same study population [10]. Although cortical cataract is -v9x tNg  
thought to be the least likely cataract type leading to a cataract x.'Ys1M  
surgery, this may not be the case in all older persons. 5dL!e<<  
A relatively stable cortical cataract and PSC prevalence -=qHwcId  
over the 6-year period is expected. We cannot offer a !z]{zM%  
definitive explanation for the increase in nuclear cataract lN*"?%<x>  
prevalence. A possible explanation could be that a moderate -`PLewvX  
level of nuclear cataract causes less visual disturbance pbG v\S F  
than the other two types of cataract, thus for the oldest age l7(p~+o?h>  
groups, persons with nuclear cataract could have been less 27Vx<W  
likely to have surgery unless it is very dense or co-existing w]US- 7  
with cortical cataract or PSC. Previous studies have shown 5L,q,kVS  
that functional vision and reading performance were high /&5:v%L  
in patients undergoing cataract surgery who had nuclear ^j 2z\yo  
cataract only compared to those with mixed type of cataract "P$')u wE  
(nuclear and cortical) or PSC [24,25]. In addition, the fH% C&xj'&  
overall prevalence of any cataract (including cataract surgery) ;6`7 \  
was similar in the two cross-sections, which appears d,o|>e$  
to support our speculation that in the oldest age group, DKG; up0  
nuclear cataract may have been less likely to be operated J!yK/*sO,  
than the other two types of cataract. This could have 8]WcW/1r !  
resulted in an increased nuclear cataract prevalence (due Bf Q#5  
to less being operated), compensated by the decreased n%6=w9.%c  
prevalence of cortical cataract and PSC (due to these being G'Uq595'-  
more likely to be operated), leading to stable overall prevalence ;.7]zn.X]2  
of any cataract. Iz&<rL;s  
Possible selection bias arising from selective survival (mx}6A  
among persons without cataract could have led to underestimation #y1M1Og  
of cataract prevalence in both surveys. We UFeQ%oRa8  
assume that such an underestimation occurred equally in %< Jj[F  
both surveys, and thus should not have influenced our I<S* "[nV  
assessment of temporal changes. Hh%|}*f_,  
Measurement error could also have partially contributed pMkM@OH  
to the observed difference in nuclear cataract prevalence. v Sk1/  
Assessment of nuclear cataract from photographs is a 0I*{CVTQj  
potentially subjective process that can be influenced by 2 y& k  
variations in photography (light exposure, focus and the %/RT}CBBsW  
slit-lamp angle when the photograph was taken) and Q 1x=@lXR  
grading. Although we used the same Topcon slit-lamp (>gb9n  
camera and the same two graders who graded photos {-yw@Kq  
from both surveys, we are still not able to exclude the possibility m4G))||9Q  
of a partial influence from photographic variation 4"Mq]_D  
on this result. :v^OdW  
A similar gender difference (women having a higher rate ^h"@OEga?  
than men) in cortical cataract prevalence was observed in PsN_c[+  
both surveys. Our findings are in keeping with observations yRt7&,}zL  
from the Beaver Dam Eye Study [18], the Barbados O66b^*=N}x  
Eye Study [22] and the Lens Opacities Case-Control 66scBi_d  
Group [26]. It has been suggested that the difference c>wn e\(5H  
could be related to hormonal factors [18,22]. A previous 4C 9k0]k2  
study on biochemical factors and cataract showed that a |^gnT`+  
lower level of iron was associated with an increased risk of c=p!2jJ1K~  
cortical cataract [27]. No interaction between sex and biochemical eU\_m5xl"  
factors were detected and no gender difference _[N*k"  
was assessed in this study [27]. The gender difference seen {6>$w/+~  
in cortical cataract could be related to relatively low iron !'a <Dw5  
levels and low hemoglobin concentration usually seen in i\k Db=  
women [28]. Diabetes is a known risk factor for cortical {X-a6OQj  
Table 3: Gender distribution of cataract types in cross-sections I and II. !'>,37()  
Cataract type Gender Cross-section I Cross-section II 5`q#~fJ2  
n % (95% CL)* n % (95% CL)* p,7?rI\N  
Cortical Male 1496 21.1 (19.0–23.1) 1328 20.4 (18.2–22.6) YAd%d |Q  
Female 1939 25.9 (23.9–27.8) 1785 26.2 (24.2–28.3) G}@a]EGm  
PSC Male 1500 6.5 (5.2–7.7) 1314 6.4 (5.1–7.7) uz;e Y D  
Female 1944 6.2 (5.1–7.2) 1753 5.7 (4.6–6.7) <>V~  
Nuclear Male 1106 17.6 (15.4–19.9) 1225 22.5 (20.1–24.8) e /L([  
Female 1395 19.5 (17.4–21.6) 1635 25.0 (22.9–27.1) 0KjCM4t  
n = number of persons mBQpf/PG  
* 95% Confidence Limits Qki? >j"  
BMC Ophthalmology 2006, 6:17 http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2415/6/17 *O7PH1G  
Page 6 of 7 3Qu-X\  
(page number not for citation purposes) %I@ vMs^  
cataract but in this particular population diabetes is more "_:6v64Gx  
prevalent in men than women in all age groups [29]. Differential o+Q2lO5  
exposures to cataract risk factors or different dietary `tl-] ^Y2  
or lifestyle patterns between men and women may W?n/>DML  
also be related to these observations and warrant further NosOd*S  
study. chM-YuN|  
Conclusion tMyMA}`  
In summary, in two population-based surveys 6 years fr&p0)85>B  
apart, we have documented a relatively stable prevalence *E-MJCv  
of cortical cataract and PSC over the period. The observed a>k9& w  
overall increased nuclear cataract prevalence by 5% over a 1G'pT$5&  
6-year period needs confirmation by future studies, and :N'   
reasons for such an increase deserve further study. x!u6LDq0  
Competing interests zo@,>'m  
The author(s) declare that they have no competing interests. ;Hb"SB  
Authors' contributions >2NsBS(  
AGT graded the photographs, performed literature search k7M{+X6[  
and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. JJW graded the S`vw<u4t  
photographs, critically reviewed and modified the manuscript. .GWN~iR(  
ER performed the statistical analysis and critically .ZM0 cwF  
reviewed the manuscript. PM designed and directed the &LQfs4}a ,  
study, adjudicated cataract cases and critically reviewed m; PTO$--  
and modified the manuscript. All authors read and  ".?y!VY  
approved the final manuscript. u(JuU/U  
Acknowledgements p E$*[IvQ'  
This study was supported by the Australian National Health & Medical `0-i>>  
Research Council, Canberra, Australia (Grant Nos 974159, 991407). The ;|f]e/El  
abstract was presented at the Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology ac8su0  
(ARVO) meeting in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA, May 2005. <)oxs ]<  
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